Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Right-wing religious terrorists in Texas 

Here's an article describing a nasty little group in Amarillo, Texas calling themselves the Army of God (which is more or less what Hezbollah translates to). Lest you think they're just the usual run of right-wing wacko uber-Christian crazies, keep in mind that until 9/11, the worst terrorist attack in the U.S. was by a ultra-right militarist.
And they don’t just talk about this. They’ve posted a Google map (they call it the “Warfare Map”) with markers for the locations of their current targets, including Buddhist churches and Islamic mosques, and even an Episcopal church because they don’t hate gays.

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Sunday, February 21, 2010

How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America 

The Atlantic has published a long article that takes a thorough look at the long-term effects of high unemployment on the social fabric of the U.S. Most of what the article describes is also applicable to Canada and especially to Southern Ontario, where the manufacturing industry has been hard hit by the recession. The picture it paints is deeply unsettling.

Indeed, this period of economic weakness may reinforce class divides, and decrease opportunities to cross them—especially for young people. The research of Till Von Wachter, the economist at Columbia University, suggests that not all people graduating into a recession see their life chances dimmed: those with degrees from elite universities catch up fairly quickly to where they otherwise would have been if they’d graduated in better times; it’s the masses beneath them that are left behind. Princeton’s 2009 graduating class found more jobs in financial services than in any other industry. According to Princeton’s career-services director, Beverly Hamilton-Chandler, campus visits and hiring by the big investment banks have been down, but that decline has been partly offset by an uptick in recruiting by hedge funds and boutique financial firms.

In the Internet age, it is particularly easy to see the bile that has always lurked within American society. More difficult, in the moment, is discerning precisely how these lean times are affecting society’s character. In many respects, the U.S. was more socially tolerant entering this recession than at any time in its history, and a variety of national polls on social conflict since then have shown mixed results. Signs of looming class warfare or racial conflagration are not much in evidence. But some seeds of discontent are slowly germinating. The town-hall meetings last summer and fall were contentious, often uncivil, and at times given over to inchoate outrage. One National Journal poll in October showed that whites (especially white men) were feeling particularly anxious about their future and alienated by the government. We will have to wait and see exactly how these hard times will reshape our social fabric. But they certainly will reshape it, and all the more so the longer they extend.

There's a long section in the article describing how the recession is affecting young people - if you're a parent, I highly recommend reading it.

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Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Management secrets of the Grateful Dead 

Yes, you read that blog headline right. And the article is in The Atlantic, not Relix or Rolling Stone. It seems the world is finally catching up to some of the things that the Grateful Dead so successful (they were, for a long time, the biggest grossing touring act in rock history).
Oddly enough, the Dead’s influence on the business world may turn out to be a significant part of its legacy. Without intending to—while intending, in fact, to do just the opposite—the band pioneered ideas and practices that were subsequently embraced by corporate America. One was to focus intensely on its most loyal fans. It established a telephone hotline to alert them to its touring schedule ahead of any public announcement, reserved for them some of the best seats in the house, and capped the price of tickets, which the band distributed through its own mail-order house. If you lived in New York and wanted to see a show in Seattle, you didn’t have to travel there to get tickets—and you could get really good tickets, without even camping out. “The Dead were masters of creating and delivering superior customer value,” Barry Barnes, a business professor at the H. Wayne Huizenga School of Business and Entrepreneurship at Nova Southeastern University, in Florida, told me. Treating customers well may sound like common sense. But it represented a break from the top-down ethos of many organizations in the 1960s and ’70s. Only in the 1980s, faced with competition from Japan, did American CEOs and management theorists widely adopt a customer-first orientation.

As Barnes and other scholars note, the musicians who constituted the Dead were anything but naive about their business. They incorporated early on, and established a board of directors (with a rotating CEO position) consisting of the band, road crew, and other members of the Dead organization. They founded a profitable merchandising division and, peace and love notwithstanding, did not hesitate to sue those who violated their copyrights. But they weren’t greedy, and they adapted well. They famously permitted fans to tape their shows, ceding a major revenue source in potential record sales. According to Barnes, the decision was not entirely selfless: it reflected a shrewd assessment that tape sharing would widen their audience, a ban would be unenforceable, and anyone inclined to tape a show would probably spend money elsewhere, such as on merchandise or tickets. The Dead became one of the most profitable bands of all time.

It’s precisely this flexibility that Barnes believes holds the greatest lessons for business—he calls it “strategic improvisation.” It isn’t hard to spot a few of its recent applications. Giving something away and earning money on the periphery is the same idea proffered by Wired editor Chris Anderson in his recent best-selling book, Free: The Future of a Radical Price. Voluntarily or otherwise, it is becoming the blueprint for more and more companies doing business on the Internet. Today, everybody is intensely interested in understanding how communities form across distances, because that’s what happens online.

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Wednesday, January 27, 2010

SoCal school bans a dictionary 

In what has got to be one of the most wrongheaded decisions ever made by a school board, a Southern California school district has banned Merriam Websters 10th Collegiate Dictionary because it contains a definition of oral sex.
"It's hard to sit and read the dictionary, but we'll be looking to find other things of a graphic nature," district spokeswoman Betti Cadmus told the paper.

But that's OK - most kids in California schools can't read anyway.

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Sunday, January 17, 2010

School evacuated over kid's science project 

A panicky vice-principal who obviously didn't know much about science, had his school evacuated because he thought a student's science project was a bomb.
A San Diego school vice-principal saw an 11-year-old's home science project (a motion detector made out of an empty Gatorade bottle and some electronics), decided it was a bomb, wet himself, put the school on lockdown, had the bomb-squad come out to destroy X-ray the student's invention and search his parents' home, and then magnanimously decided not to discipline the kid (though he did recommend that the child and his parents get counselling to help them overcome their anti-social science behavior).

So now studying science is anti-social. Words fail me. That vice-principal should be fired, perhaps after spending a week in the stocks being pelted with ripe tomatoes by engineering students from CalTech.

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Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Bruce Sterling state of the world 2010 

Each year, The Economist does its state of the world review and so does SF author and futurist, Bruce Sterling. Bruce's is better. Read it.

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Tuesday, December 29, 2009

The decline of the American Empire 

These rather depressing statistics are from the Globe and Mail. I suspect the Canadian statistics wouldn't be as grim.

THE DECLINE OF THE AMERICAN EMPIRE

MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (2008 dollars)
2000: $52,500
2009: $50,303

PROPORTION OF AMERICANS LIVING IN POVERTY
2000: 11.3%
2009: 13.2%

AMERICANS WITHOUT HEALTH INSURANCE:
2001: 39.7 M (14.1 per cent of population)
2008: 46.2 M (15.4 per cent)

UN HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX
(a measure of life expectancy, literacy, school enrolment and per capital GDP)
WORLD RANK
2000: No. 3
2009: No. 13

PUBLIC DEBT AS PERCENTAGE OF GDP
2000: 35%
2010: 62%

CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP
2000: 16%
2009: 17.3%

HOUSING STARTS
Oct. 2000: 1.5 M
Oct. 2009: 529,000

JOBLESS RATE
Nov. 2000: 3.5%
Nov. 2009: 10%

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Berkeley High may cut science labs 

Here's another example of how far downhill things have gone in parts of the U.S. Berkeley High may cut science labs because they're largely classes for white students.
Berkeley High School is considering a controversial proposal to eliminate science labs and the five science teachers who teach them to free up more resources to help struggling students.

The proposal to put the science-lab cuts on the table was approved recently by Berkeley High's School Governance Council, a body of teachers, parents, and students who oversee a plan to change the structure of the high school to address Berkeley's dismal racial achievement gap, where white students are doing far better than the state average while black and Latino students are doing worse.

Paul Gibson, an alternate parent representative on the School Governance Council, said that information presented at council meetings suggests that the science labs were largely classes for white students. He said the decision to consider cutting the labs in order to redirect resources to underperforming students was virtually unanimous.

I know Berkeley has a reputation for being, shall we say, a bit odd even by California standards, but this is mind boggling.

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Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Designing for pedestrians 

Wired has an article that looks at statistics of pedestrian deaths and injuries. It turns out that, in the US at least, you're twice as likely to be killed as a pedestrian if you're black or over 65 compared to if you're white.

As a permanent pedestrian (I don't drive), I've had more than my share of close calls. My pet peeve is drivers who won't yield to pedestrians when they're turning when the pedestrian has the walk light - the corner of Liverpool and Bayly, which I cross every day going to and from the GO station is a sore point -- I have been seriously tempted to carry a baseball bat to smash in the taillights of drivers who won't yield.

Traffic engineers are part of the problem. In Durham region, many walk lights don't activate unless you press a button at the intersection. In other words, the light will stay at Don't Walk even when it's clear you can walk. This is simply wrong, and just encourages drivers to ignore the lights even when they're in favour of the pedestrian. Then there are the streets with sidewalks only on one side, or no sidewalks at all, or designed with sidewalks right against the road, so that they're covered in mounds of snow in the winter (because they don't plow most sidewalks).

I'm surprised there aren't more cases of pedestrian rage. '

Many of the deaths occurred on streets that have few provisions for pedestrians, cyclists or those in wheelchairs. According to the report, of the 9,168 pedestrian fatalities in 2007-2008 where the location of the accident is known, more than 40 percent were killed in a spot where there was no crosswalk. The report notes that only one in 10 pedestrian deaths occurred in a crosswalk. Sixty percent occurred on an arterial road where the speed limit was 40 mph or higher.

The authors complain that states aren’t spending enough to make roads safer for people who are on foot, on a bike or in a wheelchair. The report finds wide disparities in the amount each state spends. For example, Providence, Rhode Island, spends $4.01 per person to increase pedestrian and cyclist safety, while Orlando spends 87 cents.

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Thursday, October 29, 2009

British town bars parent from childrens' play areas 

This is just too bizarre for words. A British town has banned parents from childrens' play areas because they haven't undergone criminal background checks.
A council notice to parents explains that: "Safeguarding the children and young people who use the site is one of our top priorities.

"Due to Ofsted regulations we have a responsibility to ensure that every authorised adult who enters our site is properly vetted and given a Criminal Records Bureau (CRB) check by Watford Borough Council."

I've heard Britain described as a "nanny state" but this is just ridiculous.

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Monday, October 19, 2009

Why don't high-powered cars have speed governors? 

A car crash this weekend killed three Toronto women and injured two other people. The culprit was a drunk 21-year-old driver who T-boned their van in his BMW at about 200 kph (for you Americans, that's a bit over 120 mph.) This in a 60 km/hour zone.

The media have predictably seized on the drunk driving aspect of the case, but there's another issue here that I haven't seen anyone mention - why are we allowing people to drive high-horsepower cars at high speed? The technology exists to limit speeds in cars - it's already used in Ontario to limit the speed of trucks on the 401 highway. I'm not suggesting that we limit cars to driving at the speed limit, but surely nobody needs to drive faster than about 130 km/hour (80 miles/hour), especially when the fastest speed limit on our highways is 100 km/hour.

It's probably an issue that will solve itself in a few years anyway, after peak oil hits, and gas prices triple or quadruple from their current values, and people stop buying cars with big engines. But until then, people are going to die needlessly because of idiots (drunken or otherwise) who push their insanely overpowered vehicles past their ability to control them.

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Sunday, October 18, 2009

Quantum to Cosmos festival in Waterloo 

On more than one occasion, I've wished I was living in Waterloo Ontario, and this is another one of those times. One of the main reasons is that they have the Perimeter Institute, a high-powered scientific research centre bankrolled by Mike Lazaridis, one of the co-founders of RIM. This week and next, they're sponsoring the Q2C (Quantum to Cosmos) Festival, a multi-disciplinary series of lectures, presentations, and exhibits with some pretty high-powered presenters - Stephen Hawking, Cory Doctorow to name just two that readers of this blog will likely recognize.
Canada’s Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics celebrates its 10th Anniversary with Quantum to Cosmos: Ideas for the Future. This innovative festival, October 15th to 25th, will take a global audience from the strange world of subatomic particles to the outer frontiers of the universe. You can enjoy a wide range of presentations in three ways - onsite in Waterloo, Ontario, on TV in Canada via TVO, and online over the world at Q2Cfestival.com.


Q2C's extensive program features a wide range of interesting speakers providing lectures and discussions at Perimeter Institute. Then, strolling into Uptown Waterloo, you will discover even more ideas at the Physica Phantastica Exhibit, a Sci-Fi Film Fest, Science in the Pub gatherings and screenings of The Quantum Tamers.

Honorary Festival President, Professor Stephen Hawking, takes part in The Quantum Tamers, will appear via multimedia at Perimeter Institute and narrates an immersive 3D journey through the cosmos at the Physica Phantistica Exhibit. Q2C also welcomes school groups and hosts Arts & Cultural events during the festival.

Q2C will transcend traditional festivals by streaming events live and on demand, offering virtual interaction with exhibits, and providing special opportunities for students and teachers.

Most of the sessions will be streamed and archived, so you can view them online.

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Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Compare and contrast 

Earlier this month I blogged about the appalling situation in Philadelphia, where the library system was facing closure due to lack of funds. Now, it looks like they've had a reprieve.
Just minutes ago, the Pennsylvania State senate passed bill 1828 by a vote of 32 to 17. For all of you who have been following the saga over the city's budget crisis, this is indeed the legislation that was needed for the City of Philadelphia to avoid the "Doomsday" Plan C budget scenario, which would have resulted in the layoff of 3,000 city employees and forced the closing of all libraries.

Meanwhile, in Toronto, the Toronto Public Library just celebrated the 100th anniversary of one of its branches, is about to open too more, and continues to evolve into what the Toronto Star says is the world's largest public library system.
Contrary to what you might have heard, libraries are not in a terminal state of decline, "they're not even sick," says Wendy Newman, a senior fellow at the University of Toronto's faculty of information, formerly library sciences, now known as the "I School."

"Libraries are back big-time, they're having a renaissance."

Circulation was up 27 per cent this summer across Ontario's 330 systems and 1,000 branches. Toronto, already the largest system in the world with 99 branches, is expanding with two more.

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Monday, September 14, 2009

Philadephia library system to shut down 

This is hard to believe, but the Philadelphia Free Library System will be shutting down October 2 because of lack of funds. I find it mind boggling that even in a recession, that this could happen in a major U.S. city. Compare and contrast with Toronto Public Library, which is the busiest library system in North America. I completely agree with the Boing Boing poster, who said this:
Just look at that list of all the things libraries do for our communities, all the ways they help the least among us, the vulnerable, the children, the elderly. Think of every wonderful thing that happened to you among the shelves of a library. Think of the millions of lifelong love-affairs with literacy sparked in the collections of those libraries. Think of every person whose life was forever changed for the better in those buildings.

Think of the nobility of libraries and librarianship, the great scar that the Burning of Alexandria gouged in human history. Think of the archivists who barricaded themselves in the Hermitage during the Siege of Leningrad, slowly starving and freezing to death but refusing to desert their posts for fear that the collections they guarded would become firewood.

Think of the librarians who took a stand during the darkest years of the PATRIOT Act and refused to turn over patron records. Think of the moral unimpeachability of those whose trade is universal access to all human knowledge.

Picture an entire city, a modern, wealthy place, in the richest country in the world, in which the vital services provided by libraries are withdrawn due to political brinksmanship and an unwillingness to spare one banker's bonus worth of tax-dollars to sustain an entire region's connection with human culture and knowledge and community.

Think of it and ask yourself what the hell has happened to us.

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Sunday, August 23, 2009

Merciless 

SF author Charles Stross has written a long and heartfelt post about something he sees lacking in today's world, and especially in the US - mercy. For what it's worth, I agree with him completely. Here's part:
Well, let's pan across the political landscape and look at another current cause celebre that provides a window into the darker corners of the American psyche; the issue of healthcare reform.

I've been watching the war of words with increasing disbelief for the past month, trying to get my head around the reason why so many loud, vocal citizens seem to be so adamantly opposed to something that's in their own best interests — the US healthcare system is utterly dysfunctional, even for those with health insurance costs are spiraling out of control, and the current system is becoming a major drag on economic productivity — many business start-ups abort because the founders can't obtain healthcare, many novelists of my acquaintance are in serious financial trouble or are terrified of giving up the day job (that comes with insurance), and so on. The current mess is responsible for 22,000 avoidable deaths per year — a 9/11 scale catastrophe every six weeks.

And yet we hear rhetoric about death panels, idiotic allegations that Stephen Hawking would be dead if he lived in the UK and was dependent on the NHS (this just in: Stephen Hawking is British and, er, alive because of the NHS), and so on. What's going on?

What's noticable is that the "debate" isn't about the need for healthcare, or about actual medical issues. It's about ideology, and outlook ...

Near as I can work it out from over here (caveat: I've spent somewhere between four and eight months of my life in the USA — this doesn't make me an expert) there is a small but significant proportion of the US population who hate the poor and want them to die. (Or at least to go somewhere where they're invisible and can't act as a perpetual reminder to the haters that their own security is at best tenuous.) I'm not sure why there's this hatred — my personal feeling is that it springs from numerous sources: from prosperity theology (if you're poor it's because you're ungodly and deserve to suffer), insecurity, lack of empathy, or a combination of these factors in different people. Other observers have different theories: M'Learned Friend opines that it's because the American conservative movement rejects Rawls's preconditions for justice. (That doesn't go far enough for my taste; they also seem to want to reject the entire concept of the Social Contract.) And then there's the growing tendency towards eliminationist rhetoric against socially sanctioned out-groups. (Arguably the endorsement of maltreatment of convicts is an emergent part of this trend, feeding into and normalising it.) .

The subjects vary — crime and penal policy, healthcare, don't get me started on foreign policy — but there is an ideological approach in America that is distinguished by one common characteristic: words and deeds utterly lacking in the quality of mercy.

And just to clarify one thing, because I know from previous experience that I'm likely to get snarky emails accusing me of being an American-basher, or worse - our current Conservative government in Ottawa is guilty of the same thinking that Stross is talking about.

Update: Here's another perspective on what's been going on in the U.S. recently from John Taplin.

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Friday, August 21, 2009

Mindset of the class of 2013 

Each year, Beloit College in the U.S. issues a list of things that define the mindset of their new class of students. If you are of a certain age, this will make you feel very, very old.
# Rap music has always been main stream.
# Chocolate chip cookie dough ice cream has always been a flavor choice.
# Someone has always been building something taller than the Willis (née Sears) Tower in Chicago.
# The KGB has never officially existed.
# Text has always been hyper.

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Monday, August 10, 2009

When it's criminal to be poor 

I'd thought that laws against vagrancy and indigents were pretty much a thing of the darker past, but apparently not so.
As a Las Vegas statute puts it, “An indigent person is a person whom a reasonable ordinary person would believe to be entitled to apply for or receive” public assistance.

That could be me before the blow-drying and eyeliner, and it’s definitely Al Szekely at any time of day. A grizzled 62-year-old, he inhabits a wheelchair and is often found on G Street in Washington — the city that is ultimately responsible for the bullet he took in the spine in Fu Bai, Vietnam, in 1972. He had been enjoying the luxury of an indoor bed until last December, when the police swept through the shelter in the middle of the night looking for men with outstanding warrants.

It turned out that Mr. Szekely, who is an ordained minister and does not drink, do drugs or curse in front of ladies, did indeed have a warrant — for not appearing in court to face a charge of “criminal trespassing” (for sleeping on a sidewalk in a Washington suburb). So he was dragged out of the shelter and put in jail. “Can you imagine?” asked Eric Sheptock, the homeless advocate (himself a shelter resident) who introduced me to Mr. Szekely. “They arrested a homeless man in a shelter for being homeless.”

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// posted by Keith, on (permanent link): 6:09 PM (0) comments

The outing of Pranknet 

There's been quite a bit of coverage in the mainstream media recently about PrankNet, a group of malicious idiots who have somehow managed to scare people into doing some bizarre things. The Smoking Gun has an in-depth article about how the group was outed, and it's well worth reading, and thinking about.
Coalescing in an online chat room, members of the group, known as Pranknet, use the telephone to carry out cruel and outrageous hoaxes, which they broadcast live around-the-clock on the Internet. Masquerading as hotel employees, emergency service workers, and representatives of fire alarm companies, "Dex" and his cohorts have successfully prodded unwitting victims to destroy hotel rooms and lobbies, set off sprinkler systems, activate fire alarms, and damage assorted fast food restaurants.

But while Pranknet's hoaxes have caused millions of dollars in damages, it is the group's efforts to degrade and frighten targets that makes it even more odious. For example, a bizarre July 20 prank ended with a hotel worker actually sipping from a urine sample provided by a guest at a Homewood Suites in Kentucky. Additionally, at least twice this year, fast food workers--fearing that they would suffer burns after being doused by chemicals from a fire suppression system--stripped off their clothes on the sidewalk outside their respective restaurants.

"Dex", who took his nickname from the lead character in "Dexter," the Showtime series about a serial killer who murders serial killers, is bitingly contemptuous of law enforcement and its ability to stop Pranknet or locate its members. When a victim warns him that they are contacting police, he laughs derisively and offers to provide cops with a crayon to trace his number. He and his followers place their prank calls via Skype, confident that the Internet phone service sufficiently cloaks their identities and whereabouts.

I wouldn't be surprised to see this start another round of calls for crackdowns on the Internet and lawmakers trying to ban Internet anonymity.

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Sunday, August 09, 2009

Sex laws: unjust and ineffective 

Here's an article from The Economist which suggests that the usual knee-jerk reaction to sex-related crimes may not be the most effective in keeping them from happening again and that the laws are casting too wide a net.
ONE day in 1996 the lights went off in a classroom in Georgia so that the students could watch a video. Wendy Whitaker, a 17-year-old pupil at the time, was sitting near the back. The boy next to her suggested that, since it was dark, she could perform oral sex on him without anyone noticing. She obliged. And that single teenage fumble wrecked her life.

Her classmate was three weeks shy of his 16th birthday. That made Ms Whitaker a criminal. She was arrested and charged with sodomy, which in Georgia can refer to oral sex. She met her court-appointed lawyer five minutes before the hearing. He told her to plead guilty. She did not really understand what was going on, so she did as she was told.

She was sentenced to five years on probation. Not being the most organised of people, she failed to meet all the conditions, such as checking in regularly with her probation officer. For a series of technical violations, she was incarcerated for more than a year, in the county jail, the state women’s prison and a boot camp. “I was in there with people who killed people. It’s crazy,” she says.

She finished her probation in 2002. But her ordeal continues. Georgia puts sex offenders on a public registry. Ms Whitaker’s name, photograph and address are easily accessible online, along with the information that she was convicted of “sodomy”. The website does not explain what she actually did. But since it describes itself as a list of people who have “been convicted of a criminal offence against a victim who is a minor or any dangerous sexual offence”, it makes it sound as if she did something terrible to a helpless child. She sees people whispering, and parents pulling their children indoors when she walks by.

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Sunday, August 02, 2009

Seven contempory Detroit photographers 

I posted the other day about the photographs of Detroit by James D. Griffioen. Here's another collection of photographs of Detroit by seven photographers. The third world is just around the corner, maybe a few years away.
Detroit is one of the most visually interesting cities in the world however it is also one of the most misunderstood and misrepresented cities. This group of photographs illustrates what contemporary Detroit artists have been doing in regards to developing an understanding and appreciation for this complex and diverse city from street portraits of the “survivors” to the landscapes of wild new growth to the industrial leftovers.

These seven artists have been working in the city as explorers, adventurers and pioneers for years to capture the city as it changes, evolves, devolves and transforms into something unbelievable, profound and heartbreaking. In the end they hope as a group to show Detroit as it is, not what it should be or what it was, but how it is. This in itself a provocative gesture as there are not many who feel content with the Detroit of today.

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Friday, July 31, 2009

The disappearing city 

I went to university and Windsor, and Detroit was something of a magic wonderland to a kid who'd grown up in small-town northern Ontario. It looked quite beautiful at night, the lights of downtown glittering on the water of the Detroit river, and it wasn't too hard to ignore the sound of sirens and the occasional gunshot. The reality of the city, once you got up close and personal, was something quite different, and I was never really comfortable visiting there, especially at night. There was always a sense of menace just around the corner, but to go with that there was a lot of life and vibrancy, at least in the late 1960s and early 70s. Detroit was still a city that mattered.

Things have changed, and not for the better. Parts of the city are now a vast urban wasteland and other parts aren't urban at all, as Nature is reclaiming the land. James D. Griffioen has been documenting the disappearance of Detroit in an incredible series of photographs. These are remarkable both for their subject and their artistic and technical merit. The pictures of vacant schools are particularly poignant.

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Friday, July 10, 2009

The singularity backlash 

The singularity is one of those ideas that sounds like science fiction, but has garnered some serious attention outside of the field - there's even a Singularity University.
Singularity science fiction follows a Moore's Law of the future, where science improves our lives exponentially over time. Eventually human life is so radically transformed that it's unrecognizable to those of us living in the relatively crappy present.

But now it seems there's something of a backlash in the field, as this article in io9 points out:
But now we're starting to see the bleeding edges of a backlash against this kind of "everybody disappears" singularity where the human future is unimaginably awesome. Partly this backlash is coming from history-obsessed authors like Jo Walton and Robert Charles Wilson. Wilson's novel Julian Comstock imagines a 22nd century United States sapped of its energy resources and returned to 19th Century levels of technology.

But this trend is also coming from post-apocalyptic TV series like Jericho and the upcoming Day One, where people must learn to live without their Moore's Law-driven technologies.

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Saturday, June 27, 2009

Debunking Canadian health care myths 

I've seen, many times, right-wing US pundits criticizing Canadian health care as inefficient, slow, or just not as good as the US system. This despite the fact that everyone in Canada receives at least a basic level of care through the government-funded system. (And I haven't seen any ads on Canadian TV about companies offering services to help people navigate through the health insurance bureaucracy).

Rhonda Hackett form the Denver Post has written an article that debunks many of the commonly cited myths about Canadian health care.
Myth: Canada's health care system is a cumbersome bureaucracy.

The U.S. has the most bureaucratic health care system in the world. More than 31 percent of every dollar spent on health care in the U.S. goes to paperwork, overhead, CEO salaries, profits, etc. The provincial single-payer system in Canada operates with just a 1 percent overhead. Think about it. It is not necessary to spend a huge amount of money to decide who gets care and who doesn't when everybody is covered.

Myth: The Canadian system is significantly more expensive than that of the U.S.

Ten percent of Canada's GDP is spent on health care for 100 percent of the population. The U.S. spends 17 percent of its GDP but 15 percent of its population has no coverage whatsoever and millions of others have inadequate coverage. In essence, the U.S. system is considerably more expensive than Canada's. Part of the reason for this is uninsured and underinsured people in the U.S. still get sick and eventually seek care. People who cannot afford care wait until advanced stages of an illness to see a doctor and then do so through emergency rooms, which cost considerably more than primary care services.

What the American taxpayer may not realize is that such care costs about $45 billion per year, and someone has to pay it. This is why insurance premiums increase every year for insured patients while co-pays and deductibles also rise rapidly.

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Sunday, June 07, 2009

Maybe leaders should read more science fiction 

I'm constantly amazed by the technical and scientific illiteracy of many (most) of our political leaders. That's probably because most of them are lawyers instead of scientists, engineers, or doctors. Perhaps it would help if they read more science fiction, according to SF author Ben Bova.
I may be prejudiced, of course, but it seems to me that if more people read science fiction — real science fiction, not the Hollywood tripe — the world would be a better place.

When I say “real science fiction,” I mean stories based solidly on known scientific facts. The writer is free to extrapolate from the known and project into the future, of course. The writer is free to invent anything he or she wants to — as long as nobody can prove that it’s wrong.

Thus science-fiction stories can deal with flights to the stars, or human immortality, a world government, settlements on other worlds. All of these things are possibilities of the future.

In the past, science-fiction writers have written about computers, robots, space flight, nuclear power, organ transplants, prosthetic limbs, brain stimulators, climate change, overpopulation and a myriad of other ideas and possibilities — usually several decades before they became actualities.

If our political leaders had been reading science fiction, we might have been spared the Cold War, the energy crises, the failures of public education and many of the other problems that now seem intractable because we were not prepared to deal with them when they arose.

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Friday, May 22, 2009

What does your credit card company know about you? 

There's a rather interesting article in the New York Times about how credit companies are analysing the information that they collect from your bills to help them predict whether you'll be a bad credit risk. It's particularly interesting for Canadians, because some of the pioneering research was done at Canadian Tire, a store near and dear to most of us.
The exploration into cardholders’ minds hit a breakthrough in 2002, when J. P. Martin, a math-loving executive at Canadian Tire, decided to analyze almost every piece of information his company had collected from credit-card transactions the previous year. Canadian Tire’s stores sold electronics, sporting equipment, kitchen supplies and automotive goods and issued a credit card that could be used almost anywhere. Martin could often see precisely what cardholders were purchasing, and he discovered that the brands we buy are the windows into our souls — or at least into our willingness to make good on our debts. His data indicated, for instance, that people who bought cheap, generic automotive oil were much more likely to miss a credit-card payment than someone who got the expensive, name-brand stuff. People who bought carbon-monoxide monitors for their homes or those little felt pads that stop chair legs from scratching the floor almost never missed payments. Anyone who purchased a chrome-skull car accessory or a “Mega Thruster Exhaust System” was pretty likely to miss paying his bill eventually.

Martin’s measurements were so precise that he could tell you the “riskiest” drinking establishment in Canada — Sharx Pool Bar in Montreal, where 47 percent of the patrons who used their Canadian Tire card missed four payments over 12 months. He could also tell you the “safest” products — premium birdseed and a device called a “snow roof rake” that homeowners use to remove high-up snowdrifts so they don’t fall on pedestrians.

Testing indicated that Martin’s predictions, when paired with other commonly used data like cardholders’ credit histories and incomes, were often much more precise than what the industry traditionally used to forecast cardholder riskiness. By the time he publicized his findings, a small industry of math fanatics — many of them former credit-card executives — had started consulting for the major banks that issued cards, and they began using Martin’s findings and other research to build psychological profiles. Why did birdseed and snow-rake buyers pay off their debts? The answer, research indicated, was that those consumers felt a sense of responsibility toward the world, manifested in their spending on birds they didn’t own and pedestrians they might not know. Why were felt-pad buyers so upstanding? Because they wanted to protect their belongings, be they hardwood floors or credit scores. Why did chrome-skull owners skip out on their debts? “The person who buys a skull for their car, they are like people who go to a bar named Sharx,” Martin told me. “Would you give them a loan?”

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Wednesday, May 20, 2009

International Color Guide 

Colour is one of those things that we tend not to think about, because it's so basic that it's part of our cultural gestalt. But that gestalt varies from country to country and culture to culture. (There's a reason IBM interfaces were always so bland-they really tried to avoid using colours that could be confusing or offensive - which meant most of them).

Xerox has put together an International Color Chart which shows the cultural values of colours in different countries. If you're working with international audiences, this could be a valuable resource. Just one example - in India, colour of purity is red. In the United States, it's white.

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Monday, May 18, 2009

Travelling by train, it's a pain 

It's been quite a while since I've taken VIA rail (my last train trip was to Montreal in 2000), although I do ride the GO train to and from work each day. The contrast with air travel is pretty striking - compare Union Station (dirty, dingy, crowded) with Pearson Terminal One (polished marble, clean, wide open, and crowded only security and customs) - although both handle roughly the same number of people daily. I've seen pictures of European train service and I think of them often as I shuffle slowly to the exit on the train platform at Union, dodging streams of dirty rain water.

It's not much better in the US, as Charlie Stross points out in this post about a train trip between Seattle and Portland. While the train itself was adequate, the trip took about five hours to cover a distance of 144 miles, counting the time to check in and collect baggage at the other end. By English standards, it was abysmal performance.
There are many reasons why passenger rail is the unwanted stepchild of transport policy in the USA; a lack of suitable track signaling, priority given to freight over passenger services, routes laid out in the 1930s and earlier rather than between current centres of population and commerce, and so on. But despite understanding why, I find it really strange that in this day and age, a critical chunk of the USA's infrastructure barely rises to the level of third world quality.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

The coming collapse of evangelical Christianity 

The Christian Science Monitor has an interesting article that posits that the evangelical Christian movement is due for a major collapse.
We are on the verge – within 10 years – of a major collapse of evangelical Christianity. This breakdown will follow the deterioration of the mainline Protestant world and it will fundamentally alter the religious and cultural environment in the West.

Within two generations, evangelicalism will be a house deserted of half its occupants. (Between 25 and 35 percent of Americans today are Evangelicals.) In the "Protestant" 20th century, Evangelicals flourished. But they will soon be living in a very secular and religiously antagonistic 21st century.

This collapse will herald the arrival of an anti-Christian chapter of the post-Christian West. Intolerance of Christianity will rise to levels many of us have not believed possible in our lifetimes, and public policy will become hostile toward evangelical Christianity, seeing it as the opponent of the common good.

Millions of Evangelicals will quit. Thousands of ministries will end. Christian media will be reduced, if not eliminated. Many Christian schools will go into rapid decline. I'm convinced the grace and mission of God will reach to the ends of the earth. But the end of evangelicalism as we know it is close.

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Wednesday, March 11, 2009

All boarded up 

Here's another article about the disastrous state of the housing market in the U.S., describing what's been going on in Cleveland, Ohio. It's a seriously depressing article, showing just how far downhill things have gone, and just how hard it's going to be to get out of this mess.
As early as 2000, a handful of public officials led by the county treasurer, Jim Rokakis, went to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and pleaded with it to take some action. In 2002, the city passed an ordinance meant to discourage predatory lending by, among other things, requiring prospective borrowers to get premortgage counseling. In response, the banking industry threatened to stop making loans in the city and then lobbied state legislators to prohibit cities in Ohio from imposing local antipredatory lending laws.

In the ensuing years, the city’s real estate was transformed into an Alice-in-Wonderland-like landscape. Local officials began keeping track of foreclosed homes by placing red dots on large wall maps. Some corners of the map, like Slavic Village, are now so packed with red dots they look like puddles of blood. The first question outsiders now ask is, Where has everyone gone? The homeless numbers have not increased much over the past couple of years, and it appears that most of the people who lost their homes have moved in with relatives, found a rental or moved out of the city altogether. The county has lost nearly 100,000 people over the past seven years, the largest exodus in recent memory outside of New Orleans.

Banks are now selling properties at such low prices — many below what they sold for in the 1920s — you have to wonder why they bother to foreclose at all. (The F.D.I.C. estimates that each foreclosure costs a bank on average $50,000, more than if they were to do a loan modification.) All of this leaves Brancatelli in a constant state of exasperation. When asked how he’s doing, he often takes a breath and replies, “Another day in paradise.”

It's a long article, but well worth reading.

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Sunday, March 08, 2009

Detroit, the failed city 

The term "failed state" has come into currency in the last few years to describe places like Somalia and Zimbawe, where the government and the economy are essentially moribund, and chaos reigns. But on a smaller scale, you can also have a failed city, and Detroit would be a good candidate.

Things were bad enough there when I was in university years ago. I remember taking a cab to the Grandee Ballroom to see the Jefferson Airplane, and driving through block after block of burnt out buildings, remnants of the infamous riots. Downtown was safe enough by day, if you didn't get hassled by the cops who walked in pairs or trios, with pearl handled revolvers conspicuous on their belts. By night, you went there at your own peril.

Now, it's far worse. The Financial Times has a good article on Detroit, looking at what the city is like now. It's not all hopeless, but it's certainly bleak enough. If the recession gets worse, and turns into a full-blown depression, you have to wonder if Detroit is a model for what other North American cities might become.
High culture aside, charities and institutions such as the Mosaic Youth Theatre, a beacon for poor, inner-city teens, are also worried about their budgets. The city’s two newspapers, The Detroit News and the Detroit Free Press, are clinging together for survival under a joint operating agreement that allows them to skirt antitrust law and pool costs on areas such as printing and back-office functions. From this month, they are cutting home delivery – standard for newspapers in the US – to just three days a week.

Detroiters also speak of a fraying of the city’s social fabric. For much of the 20th century, the car industry was a ticket to the middle class for poor whites from Appalachia and blacks from the deep south, lured north by Henry Ford’s famous $5-a-day jobs. Public sector unions, in turn, negotiated benefits modelled on the UAW’s – which are now straining city and state budgets. For some, social mobility is now in reverse. In Detroit’s predominantly black North End, there are blocks of ramshackle houses, many up for auction after being abandoned by owners no longer able to meet higher payments on their adjustable-rate mortgages. Again, this is the stuff of Detroit dispatches of past; the difference is that this neighbourhood always had middle-class residents alongside its poor majority. All are now bearing the brunt of the sub-prime crisis and its ripple effect on jobs, the economy and confidence.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

The 21st century: FAQ 

I've made no secret of my admiration for Charlie Stross and his SF novels. He's also a fairly prolific and interesting blogger and here's a good example - the 21st century FAQ. If you want to get an idea of where we might be going over the next few decades, you're going to have a hard time finding a better piece of writing about the future than this.
Q: Eh? But what's the big picture?

A: The big picture is that since around 2005, the human species has — for the first time ever — become a predominantly urban species. Prior to that time, the majority of humans lived in rural/agricultural lifestyles. Since then, just over 50% of us now live in cities; the move to urbanization is accelerating. If it continues at the current pace, then some time after 2100 the human population will tend towards the condition of the UK — in which roughly 99% of the population live in cities or suburbia.

This is going to affect everything.

It's going to affect epidemiology. It's going to affect wealth production. It's going to affect agriculture (possibly for the better, if it means a global shift towards concentrated high-intensity food production, possibly in vertical farms, and a re-wilding/return to nature of depopulated and underutilized former rural areas). It's going to affect the design and layout of our power, transport, and information grids. It's going to affect our demographics (urban populations tend to grow by immigration, and tend to feature lower birth rates than agricultural communities).

There's a gigantic difference between the sustainability of a year 2109 with 6.5 billion humans living a first world standard of living in creative cities, and a year 2109 with 3.3 billion humans living in cities and 3.2 billion humans still practicing slash'n'burn subsistence farming all over the map.

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Thursday, February 12, 2009

A sad statistic 

On the 200th anniversary of Darwin's birth, a Gallup poll shows that only 39% of Americans believe in the theory of evolution. There is some hope, more 18-25 year-olds believe in evolution than 55 year-olds.

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Sunday, February 08, 2009

In Florida, Despair and Foreclosures 

The recession is hitting parts of Florida particularly hard, as this article from the New York Times shows. I doubt that there's anywhere in Canada this badly off, although if any of the Big Three auto makers go under, Windsor and Oshawa could end up like Fort Myers.
Trinkets for $1 were an early sign of trouble. Early last year, garage sales and estate auctions became more common in Lehigh Acres as families sold what they could to survive. No one seemed interested in buying whole houses, and foreclosures soon gave way to empty homes that became magnets for crime.

Thieves stole air conditioner parts for scrap. And on distant roads with only a few new homes and faded blue street signs from the ’50s — on Narcissus Boulevard, on Prospect Avenue — drug dealers moved in.

In 2007 and 2008, the Lee County Sheriff’s Department shut down more than 100 houses in Lehigh Acres where marijuana was being grown. In 2008, the police confiscated nearly 3,000 plants valued at nearly $7 million.

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Friday, January 30, 2009

Some grim reflections on 2009 

SF author and futurist Bruce Sterling has a piece in Seed in which he takes a look at what we can look forward to in the coming year. It's not pretty.
Every year, insurance rates soar from mounting "natural" catastrophes, obscuring the fact that the planet's coasts are increasingly uninsurable.

Insurance underlies the building and construction trades. If those rates skyrocket, that system must keel over. Once people lose faith in the institution of insurance — because insurance can't be made to pay in climate-crisis conditions — we'll find ourselves living in a Planet of Slums.

Most people in this world have no insurance and ignore building codes. They live in "informal architecture," i.e., slum structures. Barrios. Favelas. Squats. Overcrowded districts of this world that look like a post-Katrina situation all the time. When people are thrown out of their too-expensive, too-coded homes, this is where they will go.

Unless they're American, in which case they'll live in their cars.

But how can dispossessed Americans pay for their car insurance when they have no fixed address? Besides, car companies are coming apart with the sudden savage ease of Enron's collapse. Indeed, the year 2009 is shaping up as a planetary Enron. Enron was always the Banquo's ghost at the banquet of Bushonomics. The moguls of Enron really were the princes of contemporary business innovation, and the harbingers of the present day.

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Saturday, January 10, 2009

End Times? 

It's been quite a while since I regularly read the print edition of the New York Times, but I do read the web version, at least parts of it, regularly. However, as this article from The Atlantic points out, the Times is in serious financial trouble and could either go out of business or be forced to go to a completely web-based format. That would be a major shake-up for the world of print journalism, but it might not necessarily be a bad thing.
What would a post-print Times look like? Forced to make a Web-based strategy profitable, a reconstructed Web site could start mixing original reportage with Times-endorsed reporting from other outlets with straight-up aggregation. This would allow The Times to continue to impose its live-from-the-Upper-West-Side brand on the world without having to literally cover every inch of it. In an optimistic scenario, the remaining reporters—now reporters-cum-bloggers, in many cases—could use their considerable savvy to mix their own reporting with that of others, giving us a more integrative, real-time view of the world unencumbered by the inefficiencies of the traditional journalistic form. Times readers might actually end up getting more exposure than they currently do to reporting resources scattered around the globe, and to areas and issues that are difficult to cover in a general-interest publication.

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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Bruce Sterling: State of the World 2009 

Every year SF author and futurist Bruce Sterling holds a conference on the Well about the state of the world. It's always lively, fascinating reading.
I'm a bohemian type, so I could scarcely be bothered to do anything
"financially sound" in my entire adult life. Last year was the first
year when I've felt genuinely sorry for responsible, well-to-do people.
Suddenly they've got the precariousness of creatives, of the
underclass, without that gleeful experience of decades spent
living-it-up.

These are people who obeyed the social contract and are *still*
getting it in the neck. The injustice of that upsets me. The
bourgeoisie who kept their noses clean and obeyed the rules, I never
had anything against them. I mean, of course I made big artsy fun of
them, one has to do that, but I never meant them any active harm. I
didn't scheme to raise a black flag and cut their throats because they
were consumers.

I even fret about the bankers. Seventeen percent of the US works in
financial services. That's a lot. I've got friends and relatives who
work in those industries. I frankly enjoy tossing myself into
turbulent parts of life, because I'm a dilettante who bores easily, but
jeez, bankers are supposed to be the ultimate humorless brown-shoe
crowd. They're not supposed to wake up on a sleeping roll and scrounge
breakfast.

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Monday, November 24, 2008

Woman to lose house over teenage oral sex 

If you want an example of just how messed up the U.S. is over sex, you'd be hard put to find a better example than this story out of Georgia. From BoingBoing, a succint summary:
Twelve years ago, when Wendy Whitaker was barely 17, she performed oral sex on a high school classmate who was about to turn 16. The state of Georgia convicted her of a sex crime and she was sentenced to 10 years in prison.

As a registered sex offender, Whitaker's freedom is severely restricted. She and her husband bought a house within 1000 feet of an unadvertised church daycare service, and a judge has decreed that she has to vacate by Thanksgiving.

Meanwhile, former N.Y. governor Elliot Spitzer will not face charges for hiring $5K per night call girls.

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Monday, September 29, 2008

Why near-future SF is impossible to write 

SF author Charles Stross has a post on his blog about why it's now pretty much impossible to write near-future Sf. It's always been difficult for authors to anticipate trends over the next decade or two, but the current rate of change and the unpredictability of social, political, and economic trends is making it especially difficult.
In 2005-06, I wrote a novel titled "Halting State". It's set circa 2017-18, in a future independent Scotland, and I knew going into the project that it would look horribly quaint only five or six years after publication. I'm no longer sure about the independent Scotland (paradoxically, largely because of the way the Scottish National Party — currently the Scottish government — is running things), but I'm having a quiet gloat over the Amazon.com reviewers who marked the book down for having the temerity to suggest that in 2017-18, the United States wouldn't be the sole planetary hegemonic power, but would be having major headaches rebuilding itself after an economic/infrastructure crisis. However, next year I'm supposed to write something approximating a sequel to "Halting State", set circa 2022-23, and right now I'm just glad that I don't have to start writing for another six months.

Put yourself in the shoes of an SF author trying to construct an accurate (or at least believable) scenario for the USA in 2019. Imagine you are constructing your future-USA in 2006, then again in 2007, and finally now, with talk of $700Bn bailouts and nationalization of banks in the background. Each of those projections is going to come out looking different. Back in 2006 the sub-prime crisis wasn't even on the horizon but the big scandal was FEMA's response (or lack thereof) to Hurricane Katrina. In 2007, the sub-prime ARM bubble began to burst and the markets were beginning to turn bearish. (Oh, and it looked as if the 2008 presidential election would probably be down to a fight between Hilary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani.) Now, in late 2008 the fiscal sky is falling; things may not end as badly as they did for the USSR, but it's definitely an epochal, historic crisis.

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Monday, September 22, 2008

The end of publishing? 

Like the music industry, book publishers are in trouble, although for somewhat different reasons. New York has a long feature article, The End, by Boris Kacha, about what's happening.
Survey New York’s oldest culture industry this season, however, and you won’t find many stoics. What you will find are prophets of doom, Cassandras in blazers and black dresses arguing at elegant lunches over What Is to Be Done. Even best-selling publishers and agents fresh from seven-figure deals worry about what’s coming next. Two, five years from now—who knows? Life moves fast in the waning era of print; publishing doesn’t.

So what’s causing this, exactly—this inchoate dread that’s suddenly turned “choate,” as one insider puts it? The anxiety would be endurable if it was just a function of the late-Bush economy: Sales at the five big publishers were up 0.5 percent in the first half of this year, bookstore sales tanked in June, and a full-year decline is expected. But pretty much every aspect of the business seems to be in turmoil. There’s the floundering of the few remaining semi-independent midsize publishers; the ouster of two powerful CEOs—one who inspired editors and one who at least let them be; the desperate race to evolve into e-book producers; the dire state of Borders, the only real competitor to Barnes & Noble; the feeling that outrageous money is being wasted on mediocre books; and Amazon .com, which many publishers look upon as a power-hungry monster bent on cornering the whole business.

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Friday, August 22, 2008

Have you worked for a psycho? 

Have you ever worked for a psychopath? If you're like me, you've might even have been unlucky to have worked for more than one. My prime example (and I won't name him) was my boss at a computer store in Toronto in the 1980s. One morning he came into work after I opened the store and accused me of stealing the store's overhead sign. It turned out the sign company had come before the store opened and taken the sign away for cleaning and repair. It seems funny right now, but at the time it was scary.

And I've had another couple of bosses just as bad. If you want their stories, you'll have to buy me a beer.

An article in Management Issues examines the phenomenon of the corporate psycho.

A study published in New Scientist magazine has found that there are far more sub-criminal psychopaths - self-serving, narcissistic schemers who display a stunning lack of empathy, but are not criminally inclined - at large in the population than had previously been thought. And many of them end up in managerial positions.

Around one per cent of the population – or 600,000 people in Britain alone – can be categories as psychopathic, according to Professor Robert Hare of the University of British Columbia in Canada.

And because 'corporate psychopaths' display similar ruthless traits to sadistic killers, they often gravitate towards roles in business the media, law and politics where their scheming and bullying is just part of everyday working life.

They tend to be manipulative, arrogant, callous, impatient, impulsive, unreliable, superficially charming and prone to fly into rages. They break promises, take credit for the work of others and blame everyone else when things go wrong.


Just in case you think I'm being overly negative, I've had some really wonderful, smart, and compassionate bosses, who I still keep in touch with. And the rest were just -- bosses. The bad ones have given me a benchmark to help me better appreciate the good ones, and I hope they helped me avoid some of the same mistakes when I was a manager.

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Sunday, August 17, 2008

Plight of the Little Emperors 

With the Olympics being held right now, there's been a lot of extra coverage about life in China on TV and in the press. I found one news show particularly interesting, which showed the effects that China's one child policy and the national bias towards having male children was having on young girls in school. In some areas, the male to female ratio for children is more than 1.30 to 1. This is going to result in a large pool of unmarried males, which in most societies, is a prescription for social unrest.

For more about what life is like for the young male students, read this fascinating article from Psychology Today, called Plight of the Little Emperors.
When China began limiting couples to one child 30 years ago, the policy's most obvious goal was to contain a mushrooming population. For the Chinese people, however, the policy's greater purpose was to turn out a group of young elites who would each enjoy the undivided resources of their whole family—the so-called xiao huangdi, or "little emperors." The plan was to "produce a generation of high-quality children to facilitate China's introduction as a global power," explains Susan Greenhalgh, an expert on the policy. But while these well-educated, driven achievers are fueling the nation's economic boom, their generation has become too modern too quickly, glutted as it is with televisions, access to computers, cash to buy name brands, and the same expectations of middle-class success as Western kids.

The shift in temperament has happened too fast for society to handle. China is still a developing nation with limited opportunity, leaving millions of ambitious little emperors out in the cold; the country now churns out more than 4 million university graduates yearly, but only 1.6 million new college-level jobs. Even the strivers end up as security guards. China may be the world's next great superpower, but it's facing a looming crisis as millions of overpressurized, hypereducated only children come of age in a nation that can't fulfill their expectations.

This culture of pressure and frustration has sparked a mental-health crisis for young Chinese. Many simmer in depression or unemployment, unwilling to take jobs they consider beneath them. Millions, afraid to face the real world, escape into video games, which the government considers a national epidemic. And a disturbing number decide to end it all; suicide is now China's leading cause of death for those aged 20 to 35. "People in China—especially parents and college students—are suddenly becoming aware of huge depression and anxiety problems in young people," says Yu Zeng, a 23-year-old from Sichuan province. "The media report on new campus suicides all the time."

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Tuesday, July 29, 2008

ASME top 40 magazine covers of the last 40 years 

The American Society of Magazine Editors has picked the top 40 magazine covers of the last 40 years. If you read magazines much, you'll probably recognize some of these covers - some were quite controversial and there are many striking images.

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Sunday, July 27, 2008

Saving money on groceries 

With gas prices being higher than ever, consumers are being squeezed from several different directions. There's less money to spend on food and the food itself is more expensive, because of increased transportation and production costs. But it is possible to save money by following some common-sense rules, as this article points out. Here's the first five:
1. Make A List! Shopping lists top every saving strategy we offer, and for good reason. Lists make for routinized, disciplined shopping.
2. Don't Fear An Empty Fridge: Food grows mold, not interest. An empty fridge is a strong sign that your buying matches your consumption.
3. Approach Deals Skeptically: Just because an item screams "Two for One!" doesn't mean that you need two. Make sure the item is something that you'll use, and something that won't expire quickly.
4. Avoid Supermarkets For Perishables: Buy your vegetables, meats, and fish at local establishments. You'll spend less per visit, while honing your comparison shopping skills. In our neighborhood, the Korean vegetable stand is usually 30% cheaper than the supermarket around the corner.
5. Buy Non-Perishables In Bulk: If you can store them, buy your pasta and rice in bulk. Just don't try to buy more than one bag at a time.

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Wednesday, June 18, 2008

More on the death of suburbia 

Here's another article on the social impact that high gas prices, and in the US the subprime mortgage crisis, are having on the suburban life style. It seems the American dream of two cars and a house on a big lot in the suburbs is turning into something of a nightmare.
Recent market research indicates that up to 40 percent of households surveyed in selected metropolitan areas want to live in walkable urban areas, said Leinberger. The desire is also substantiated by real estate prices for urban residential space, which are 40 to 200 percent higher than in traditional suburban neighborhoods -- this price variation can be found both in cities and small communities equipped with walkable infrastructure, he said.

The result is an oversupply of depreciating suburban housing and a pent-up demand for walkable urban space, which is unlikely to be met for a number of years. That's mainly, according to Leinberger, because the built environment changes very slowly; and also because governmental policies and zoning laws are largely prohibitive to the construction of complicated high-density developments.

It used to be that condos were an affordable alternative to suburban living. But from what I've seen of prices recently, condos in Toronto at least, are now as expensive or more expensive than many houses. So the trend mentioned in the article may be happening here too.

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Friday, May 23, 2008

Security and rare events 

Cory Doctorow has an article in the Guardian about how we perceive rare events and how our skewed perception of their likelihood affects security.
he rare – and the lurid – loom large in our imagination, and it's to our great detriment when it comes to our safety and security. As a new father, I'm understandably worried about the idea of my child falling victim to some nefarious predator Out There, waiting to break in and take my child away. There's a part of me who understands the panicked parent who rings 999 when he sees some street photographer aiming a lens at a kids' playground.

But the fact is that attacks by strangers are so rare as to be practically nonexistent. If your child is assaulted, the perpetrator is almost certainly a relative (most likely a parent). If not a relative, then a close family friend. If not a close family friend, then a trusted authority figure.

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Saturday, February 23, 2008

Suburban slums 

For years, I've been describing the ugly, soulless, sprawling suburban wastelands springing up around greater Toronto as instant slums. The idea that the suburban lifestyle might not be sustainable in the long run isn't new, but it looks like the rot is setting in even faster than I thought it would, especially in the US, where the subprime mortgage disaster has decimated (or worse) suburban neighbourhoods. And if you think it's bad now, just wait until gas prices hit $5.00 or $10.00 per gallon ($2-$3/litre).

The March issue of The Atlantic has a long article on what's happening out in the burbs, and it's not pretty.
Strange days are upon the residents of many a suburban cul-de-sac. Once-tidy yards have become overgrown, as the houses they front have gone vacant. Signs of physical and social disorder are spreading.

At Windy Ridge, a recently built starter-home development seven miles northwest of Charlotte, North Carolina, 81 of the community’s 132 small, vinyl-sided houses were in foreclosure as of late last year. Vandals have kicked in doors and stripped the copper wire from vacant houses; drug users and homeless people have furtively moved in. In December, after a stray bullet blasted through her son’s bedroom and into her own, Laurie Talbot, who’d moved to Windy Ridge from New York in 2005, told The Charlotte Observer, “I thought I’d bought a home in Pleasantville. I never imagined in my wildest dreams that stuff like this would happen.”

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Saturday, January 12, 2008

Don't count on telecommuting during a pandemic 

Scott McPherson points out something that's been bothering me ever since the SARS epidemic hit Toronto a few years ago - what's going to happen to our supply chains if a serious pandemic breaks out? His post concentrates on the IT aspects, but you could apply the same reasoning to other areas: transportation, electricty supplies, food, and so on. As for telecommuting, how likely is that your ISP's Internet connection will stay up for a long period of time if there's nobody maintaining their servers, routers, or local hubs?
In a pandemic, everything will be constrained and in short supply. This especially means spare parts and replacement equipment for IT, since so much of it comes from overseas (Asia). It is difficult to get some networking equipment delivered quickly on a good day, let alone in the middle of an influenza pandemic. In fact, Michael Dell told me personally in 2006 that the SARS experience has fueled Dell's initiative to try and develop a Singapore-to-Ireland revolving door of manufacturing during a pandemic. The theory is that while one area is savaged, the other might be on the path to recovery. The company is making the best assumption it can; namely, that it must find a way to continue operations, or perish. Dell will also try and maintain larger inventories of certain parts, although those components change so quickly that it is an egregious violation of Dell's own business model to store anything in too much quantity for too long.

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Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Scalzi visits the Creationist Museum 

SF author John Scalzi visited the Creation Museum last week and has published a lengthy and very entertaining trip report about his experience. The Creation Museum is a museum dedicated to the premise that the creation myth, as stated in the Bible, is the literal truth. Needless to say, he's not a creationist.
I’m quite clearly immune to the ideological charms of the Creation Museum, but then, I never was the prime audience for the place. How were other people grokking the museum the day I was there? Honestly, it’s hard to say. The place was certainly crowded; I and the friends I went with had to wait in line an hour and a half to get into the place (there’s a bottleneck in the middle of the museum in the form of a short film about the six days of creation). No one I could see was getting sloppy over the place; people just more or less shuffled through each room, looked at the displays, read the placards and moved on. My friends occasionally heard someone say “oh, come on,” when one of the placards tested their credulity (there’s apparently only so much of “T-Rexes were vegetarian” propaganda any one person should be obliged to take), but for my part I just noticed people looking, reading and moving on.

There have to be people who believe this horseshit unreservedly, but I suspect that perhaps the majority of the visitors I saw were Christians who may not buy into the whole “six days” thing, but are curious to see how it’s being presented. To be clear, the “horseshit” I’ve been speaking of is not Christianity, it’s creationism, which to my mind is a teleological quirk substantially unrelated to the grace one can achieve through Jesus Christ. Now, the Creation Museum rather emphatically argues that a literal reading of the Bible is essential for true Christianity — it’s got a whole red-lit section that suggests the ills of society are directly related to folks deciding that maybe some parts of the Bible are, you know, metaphorical – but that’s just more horseshit, of a slightly different flavor. There are lots of Christians who clearly don’t need to twist their brain like a pretzel to get around the idea that the universe is billions of years old and that we’ve evolved from earlier forms. For those folks, the Creation Museum is probably about culture, to the extent any installation largely created by someone who previously worked for Universal Studios can be about culture.

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Sunday, October 14, 2007

Is Wall Street killing America? 

Consumerist has a post about how Wall Street's (and Bay Street's) preoccupation with short-term profits is hurting the American (and by extension, Canadian) economy.
Wall Street's relentless drive for short-term profit is ruining corporate America and the consumer experience, according to John Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group. The overseer of one of the world's largest mutual funds appeared on Bill Moyers Journal to discuss a New York Times investigation that revealed substandard care at nursing homes owned by investment firms. According to Bogle, the trend is not contained, and has dire long-term consequences:

"The financial sector of our economy is the largest profit-making sector in America. Our financial services companies make more money than our energy companies -- no mean profitable business in this day and age. Plus, our healthcare companies. They make almost twice as much as our technology companies, twice as much as our manufacturing companies. We've become a financial economy which has overwhelmed the productive economy to the detriment of investors and the detriment ultimately of our society."

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Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Remixing the library 

Recently John Udell gave a talk called Remixing the Library at the Global Research Library 2020 conference. If you like libraries and think they have an important role to play in society, then you'll want to read this. Udell says:
It ties together a number of threads I’ve been pursuing: lightweight integration of information services, the hyperlocal web, and the emergence and use of public data. I’d be curious to know what folks think of the idea, presented in this talk, that libraries can play an important role not only as curators of existing information resources, but also as advisers to individuals and organizations as they increasingly create new resources

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Friday, October 05, 2007

Arrive alive 

SF author Charles Stross does a lot of flying, about 50,000 km. last year, and has some tips for those unlucky people who are subjected to the abuse we call international travel these days. If you plan on flying in the near future, even domestically, this is well worth your time.
Rule #0: be prepared. If you're going to travel, you need to line up all your ducks in a row first. Make sure your passport is in date and doesn't look as if it's been tampered with. (In particular: if the photograph page looks as if someone may have messed with the photograph, get a replacement passport right now.) Make sure your flights are booked, and (if flying to the USA) you've got an itinerary with the addresses of where you're going to be staying. There will be an exam, administered in flight, and if you don't fill out the landing card properly the immigration officer may refuse you entry. Take a black ballpoint pen. (Pack two!) Visas are a whole other kettle of fish; luckily for me, most places I fly to don't require them. (The USA has a visa waiver scheme for EU citizens that covers vacations and short business trips — as long as you're not working as "an agent of the foreign press" or earning a living. This covers things like trade shows and, apparently, science fiction conventions and publicity tours.) You should also almost certainly ensure that you have comprehensive travel insurance policy, including medical and legal cover of at least $1M. Oh, and make sure your mobile phone works in your destination country and your phone plan covers international roaming. (Note that GSM phones do not work in Japan, dual-band European GSM phones don't work in all parts of the USA, CDMA phones — from the USA — do not work anywhere outside the USA, and so on. There are some other rules. Ask your phone company for guidance.)

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Monday, October 01, 2007

28 turkeys off the road 

Ontario police impounded 28 vehicles yesterday, on the first day that a new law came into effect that lets them impound the vehicles and suspend the licenses of drivers who are driving more than 50 km/hour over the speed limit. This is a good thing, and I hope it will help to cut down on the incidents of speeding and aggressive driving that I see almost every day. Just because you own a car doesn't mean that you own the road.
Police aren't apologizing for embracing the law and its stiff penalties.

"We're trying to make aggressive driving as socially unacceptable as drinking and driving," Woolley said.

One reason for the tough stance is the mounting cost of speeding. According to OPP statistics, 340 people have been killed on Ontario roads so far this year, compared with 329 at the same time last year; 87 of this year's cases involved speed and aggressive driving.

To curb that kind of behaviour, the new law also imposes the tough penalties on any kind of risky driving behaviour.

"There's a lot of room for the officer to use their own judgment," Woolley noted, such as "anyone driving in a risky manner, driving an unsafe vehicle, driving double the speed limit on wet or icy roads.''

I'd also like to see a ban on car commercials that emphasize horsepower and speed. We don't allow commercials showing smoking or drinking; why do we allow car companies to promote illegal activity?

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